Can the midterm outcome “solve” Washington’s problems? No. But it can make things worse.

November 4, 2014
An old adage is that lawmakers win reelection by “running against Washington.”  According to a recent Gallup poll, just 14% of Americans approve of Congress’s job performance. So while… Read More

Food Fight! Can Food Brands Predict Elections?

October 8, 2014
A few weeks ago on Meet the Press, Chuck Todd proposed that the fate of the Senate could come down to the distribution of Starbucks coffee shops (an elitist,… Read More

Quantifying Bill’s Value to Hillary’s Campaign (Part 2)

August 28, 2014
In a recent post, I explored whether it’s possible to quantify Bill’s value to Hillary Clinton’s campaign (see here).  In other words: Do voters reward (and punish) Hillary… Read More

Yes, Democrats can win the House (Though Probably not This Year)

July 30, 2014
Chris Cillizza wrote a piece titled, “Why it’s going to be hard for Democrats to win back the House this decade.” He makes the argument that with a declining share… Read More

Seven Numbers to Remember About the VA Compromise

July 28, 2014
According to multiple sources, Representative Jeff Miller (R-FL) and Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) have reached a tentative agreement on a bill to overhaul the Veterans Affairs health care… Read More

An Ideological Mapping of South Carolina’s Senate Candidates

July 22, 2014
When it comes to politics, South Carolina is full of intrigue. From Lee Atwater’s Southern Strategy and the 2000 Republican primary to Joe Wilson’s “You Lie!” and Stephen Colbert’s… Read More

Why the Logic of “Throwing the Bums Out” is Wrong

July 7, 2014
As the election season ramps up, Americans offer dozens of claims about the “problems” facing our country and their purported “solutions.”  But while many of these claims are amenable to… Read More

Are Career Politicians “Out of Touch” with Constituents?

June 9, 2014
On Tuesday, Republican voters in South Carolina head to the polls to elect a candidate for the U.S. Senate seat occupied by Lindsey Graham.  Graham, who’s held the position since 2002,… Read More

Bergdahl, Benghazi, and Beyond: The Politics of Congressional Investigations

June 6, 2014
Is Bowe Bergdahl the new Benghazi? It would certainly seem so.  Several Republicans are calling for investigations into the now infamous prisoner swap.  Calls for impeachment… Read More

Why Americans “Tune Out” the State of the Union

January 28, 2014
With the State of the Union just a few hours away, the political science blog-o-sphere is all abuzz.  The essential reading list includes: Can presidential speeches sway public opinion? … Read More