Should Ron Paul “Pray for Rain” on the 3rd?

December 27, 2011
A common elections adage is that Republican candidates should “pray for rain” on election day.  The logic is that rain suppresses voter turnout among unlikely voters (who, in turn, disproportionately identify as… Read More

Unfairly picking on Ezra Klein

December 23, 2011
Ezra Klein wrote a article about “No Labels,” a non-partisan group dedicated to “Not left. Not right. Forward.” I don’t have a qualm with either the group’s objective or… Read More

Does Iowa Matter?

December 17, 2011
In the mist of an extremely long presidential primary and campaign – as long or longer than I can remember – conversations always reach this question: “Who cares about Iowa?”… Read More

Don’t Play With Your Food: Reconsidering The “Cracker Barrel v. Whole Foods” Meme

December 14, 2011
According to David Wasserman of the Washington Post, every presidential election has its cultural divisions: The 1896 presidential contest, for instance, is remembered as a battle between William Jennings… Read More

The Debt Ceiling and the Decline of American Democracy

August 1, 2011
Jacob Hacker and Oona Hathaway, both professors at Yale University, have a very good op-ed in today’s New York Times. I definitely recommend it. To sum up their argument,… Read More

Dodging the Ryan Budget: Republican Schadenfreude

June 23, 2011
Politico notes that the Ryan budget is quickly becoming a litmus test for Republicans.  The trick, David Catanese argues, is catering to conservative primary voters while dodging the unpopular Ryan… Read More

GOP Women: “As Conservative as the Men are”

June 21, 2011
Politico has a story today (here) that addresses the new crop of women in the Republican party.  There are a couple points in the article that I… Read More

Visualizing Mitt Romney’s 2007 and 2011 Presidential Announcements

June 5, 2011
Here are two word clouds of Mitt Romney’s 2007 and 2011 presidential announcements (I used wordle.com).  The returns were limited to the 20 most frequently used words with “common”… Read More

Responding to Nate Silver: Elections and Economic Conditions

June 5, 2011
Nate Silver wrote a very good post yesterday about the ability of economic models to forecast election results. I think he does a good job of debunking the idea that… Read More

Members of Congress have Better Stocks Than You

May 31, 2011
Congress has had its share of financial, fundraising, and pork-barrel scandals. Well, add this to the mix. There is an interesting article in the Business and Politics Journal, by… Read More