Yes, Democrats can win the House (Though Probably not This Year)

July 30, 2014
Chris Cillizza wrote a piece titled, “Why it’s going to be hard for Democrats to win back the House this decade.” He makes the argument that with a declining share… Read More

An Ideological Mapping of South Carolina’s Senate Candidates

July 22, 2014
When it comes to politics, South Carolina is full of intrigue. From Lee Atwater’s Southern Strategy and the 2000 Republican primary to Joe Wilson’s “You Lie!” and Stephen Colbert’s… Read More

Let’s Pump the Brakes on Congressional Approval Bashing

January 15, 2014
Let me start with this: yes, America hates Congress. With few exceptions Congress very rarely enjoys high job approval. Job disapproval is in some ways built into the institution’s DNA. Read More

Perspectives on the South Carolina Special Election

May 7, 2013
Voters in South Carolina’s 1st  district head to the polls today for a special election.  What follows is my perspective on the election with links to worthwhile readings on… Read More

Colbert Busch vs. Sanford: Who Will They Represent?

April 30, 2013
Elizabeth Colbert Busch and Mark Sanford met last night for the first—and presumably only—televised debate for South Carolina’s vacant 1st congressional seat.  There were a few notable exchanges.  For example,… Read More

A Primer on the Primary: The South Carolina Special Election

March 19, 2013
Voters in the lowcountry head to the polls today in a special election primary.  The vacancy in South Carolina’s 1st district opened when Republican Tim Scott accepted Governor Nikki… Read More

The State of the Union: Putting First Things First

February 13, 2013
State of the Unions.  What are they good for?  Absolutely nothing. Ok “absolutely nothing” is an oversimplification.  But as best political scientists are able to discern, presidential speeches in… Read More

The Ratings War: Does It Matter?

September 12, 2012
Nothing epitomizes the horse race nature of presidential politics quite like the conventions ratings war.  For example, Matt Drudge and Rush Limbaugh were quick to dismiss the DNC’s higher… Read More

The Veepstakes: What’s the Electoral Value of a Vice President?

August 11, 2012
A few hours ago, Mitt Romney announced Wisconsin representative Paul Ryan as his running mate.  It seems obvious that in picking Ryan, Romney is trying to solidify his position with fiscal conservatives… Read More

Rick Santorum’s Measurement Problem: The Religious Left

February 23, 2012
As our national dialogue pivots from jobs and deficits toward religion, birth control and politics, Rick Santorum has positioned himself at the center of said debate.  His claim that Obama’s… Read More