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Recess is Over: Congress (will be) back in Session.
Congress returns from recess next week after an unexpectedly successful final week in July. Congress passed a significant Veterans health bill and temporarily extended the Highway Trust Fund. While there… Read More
Quantifying Bill’s Value to Hillary’s Campaign (Part 2)
In a recent post, I explored whether it’s possible to quantify Bill’s value to Hillary Clinton’s campaign (see here). In other words: Do voters reward (and punish) Hillary… Read More
Selection Bias and Voluntary Drug Testing Part II
In August of 2011, a post of mine addressed the policy of drug testing welfare recipients. At that time, much was made of the fact that Florida’s mandatory drug testing policy produced… Read More
Quantifying Bill’s Value to Hillary’s Campaign (Part I)
In presidential elections, relationships matter. For example, political scientists know that the relationship between economic conditions, the number of causalities in war, and the incumbent’s party affiliation explain the… Read More
No, the Senate did not block the House Border Bills – Yet
The Washington Examiner reported today, “in a matter of minutes, Senate Democrats on Tuesday blocked a pair of House bills that would have provided nearly $700 million to deal with… Read More
Yes, Democrats can win the House (Though Probably not This Year)
Chris Cillizza wrote a piece titled, “Why it’s going to be hard for Democrats to win back the House this decade.” He makes the argument that with a declining share… Read More
Seven Numbers to Remember About the VA Compromise
According to multiple sources, Representative Jeff Miller (R-FL) and Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) have reached a tentative agreement on a bill to overhaul the Veterans Affairs health care… Read More
An Ideological Mapping of South Carolina’s Senate Candidates
When it comes to politics, South Carolina is full of intrigue. From Lee Atwater’s Southern Strategy and the 2000 Republican primary to Joe Wilson’s “You Lie!” and Stephen Colbert’s… Read More
Who’s the Worst President? Evaluating the Quinnipiac Poll
Quinnipiac University’s “worst president” poll got a lot of press. Washington Post, the New York Times, CNN, Fox, and virtually every other news outlet have carried the headline, “Obama is the… Read More
Why the Logic of “Throwing the Bums Out” is Wrong
As the election season ramps up, Americans offer dozens of claims about the “problems” facing our country and their purported “solutions.” But while many of these claims are amenable to… Read More